sexta-feira, 28 de dezembro de 2012

Mensalão AND GLOBAL CRISIS AFFECTS THE BRAZILIAN ECONOMY.


Mensalão AND GLOBAL CRISIS AFFECTS THE BRAZILIAN ECONOMY.

GLIMMER OF INTERNATIONAL CRISIS, LEAVES BRAZIL 5 TIMES WITH NEGATIVE welcome.

Gilmar Sources
Coordinator of the Party Social PS.Porto Velho / RO


The president, Dilma Rousseff, and his team of economic analysts lead to a Brazilian economic history proximity crucial. The country ends the year with a deficit of nearly 6 billion dollars. This is a new moment of Rousseff's government. Having been unforgiving with imported with the purpose of strengthening the domestic industry, which now led an invasion of public spending generated by machine, now president of the Asia this fairer than ever, this will be the funeral of the Workers Party . PT, as the party is preparing for a perpetual memorial, now the opposition just know how to make carqueado to finish mythology preached lionized by the team of mensaleiros


 As I had predicted, the government this time extrapolated the spending limits, and despite the growing crisis in European countries, and especially in Brazil, the federal government, in granting to states and municipalities, have not kept track of expenses, fund's holdings integrated citizens. This indicates that Brazil is the banking route. In current management according to the magazine Veja The consolidated public sector, formed by the central government (Treasury, Central Bank and Social Security), state and local governments and state enterprises, except Petrobras and Eletrobras, recorded a primary deficit of 5.51 billion in November . Source / / SEE according to data released Friday by the Central Bank. The market is negatively surprised that, once economic analysts believed that a surplus would lead a smile to the face of commerce. But the shock to the economy made for interest payment of 5.1 billion reais puts the country at risk margin, which is called Brazil risk.
According to the agency's Central Bank, a large part of the deficit comes from the federal government, which ended this period of the year with a negative balance of 5.87 billion reais. The state governments and municipalities contributed a surplus of 1.68 billion reais, and state enterprises that are connected directly to the government recorded a surplus of 1.32 billion reais, which can still help the country to this avalanche international crisis.
With the result of months of October and November, the accumulated primary surplus in 12 months distanced himself further from the goal of controlling government that was set for the current year, 139.8 billion reais. According to the authority of experts and exchange, between January and November this year, the public sector primary surplus reached 82.69 billion reais, equivalent to 2.06% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP). In like manner also the period of 2011, the share ranged from 3.35% of GDP. Between January and November this year, the economy made for interest payment was equivalent to 1.93% of Gross Domestic Product. (GDP)
The agency's Central Bank also said that the public sector nominal deficit stood at 21.84 billion reais in November. The value is well above the 4.699 billion reais added in October this year and 10.164 billion reais November last year. The central government registered a deficit of exactly 20.546 billion reais, while the county and state governments accounted exact surplus of 293.01 million. Parastatals, in turn, had a deficit ranging from 1.58,9 1.59 billion reais will.
Accumulation in the year between January and November, the nominal deficit of the consolidated public sector sum 112.07 billion reais, which equals 2,79,98% of GDP. Over the past 12 months ending in November, the deficit exact sum 130 702 230 000 000 reais, or hit the frame of 2.98% of GDP.
Interest rates on high. The consolidated public sector expenditures of 16.331 billion reais in the interest of public debt in national currency exchange in November. According to Central Bank data. There was a decrease from the month of August and September of 17 billion dollars recorded in October, and also in comparison with the month of November last year, when the total was 18.35. 98 billion dollars.
The federal government had an interest expense of 14.671 billion dollars in November, while the state governments and municipalities recorded an expense of 1.39 billion reais and state companies, from 271.98 million. In January accumulating year by the month of November, the interest expense of the consolidated public sector totaled 195.76 billion reais, equivalent to 4,85,99% of GDP. Over the past 12 months ending in November, spending reached 215.34 billion reais, or 4,91,99% of GDP. While public debt accounted for 35.80% of GDP.
What to do? With the innumerable recativas measures to stimulate economic growth, and the country's financial and payroll tax relief and reduction of Excise Tax (IPI) of various items, the government opened a raise and now must meet the primary surplus target of 2012 so only accounted for productive industrial sectors, by subterfuge in obedience accounting and legal norms in force.
In November, according to Veja magazine published a story that the finance minister, Guido Mantega, had already admitted that the full target primary surplus of 139.8 billion reais, will not be met this year. The government will cull the result of the investments made in the Growth Acceleration Program (PAC) and the Minha Casa, Minha Vida. It is unclear what will be the value of the discount that is not yet fully defined by the minister.
Even with the reduction of the Growth Acceleration Program (PAC), the numbers of indicators shows that, for the performance of the envisioned goal, the federal government will have trouble closing the accounts this month of December 2012. In the latest report of the national revenue expenditure which is what controls the entire budget of the union, the lion and the government said it intends to kill 25.5. 99 billion real goal for the year, which would reduce to 114, 2.33 billion reais. The figures are still far from the 82.70 billion reais surplus recorded in the course followed from January to November and December this year, already missing less than 4 days for the possessions of the city, and the economy does not favor the new elected in the municipalities of the states Brazilian federation, all the Brazilian state are suffering from the economic collapse, caused it Europe's crisis, and the crisis of mensalão not welcomed international investors, a result the small state of Acre, Rondônia and functionalism public feeling comes skin, this turn around in the economy Nacional. Government of the two state retains 13 employees, data that took a tremendous drop in sales of Christmas and New Year, I talked to all traders boardwalk and camelogramo, and they said sales were well below market expectations, the consumerism of imported products were higher than the product of the domestic industry due to high interest rates and unfair taxes levied by the government and municipal
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